Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 95.772000 106.523335 117.477328 129.442387 142.113956 155.105571 169.403416
2025-02-23 78.849032 94.335601 110.770019 129.387756 149.776179 171.316473 195.686722
2025-03-02 68.443571 86.557024 106.368914 129.401490 155.208132 183.017890 215.042059
2025-03-09 60.852165 80.883490 103.383121 130.122136 160.652211 194.079991 233.112223
2025-03-16 53.505782 74.705210 99.138663 128.782738 163.219900 201.467569 246.677312
2025-03-23 49.026940 71.470395 97.918740 130.568401 169.037883 212.256959 263.839799
2025-03-30 45.369943 68.892066 97.190208 132.676996 175.019196 223.069272 280.899659
2025-04-06 40.753336 64.736722 94.245761 131.873931 177.363935 229.520746 292.828110
2025-04-13 35.780770 59.739670 89.946071 129.148506 177.189542 232.852656 300.994863
2025-04-20 34.304799 59.245684 91.206835 133.167267 185.038702 245.541567 320.006423
2025-04-27 32.331302 57.918404 91.283212 135.618469 190.922212 255.869645 336.240645
2025-05-04 29.276501 54.867555 88.950340 134.894608 192.814194 261.372734 346.743968
2025-05-11 26.281356 51.724052 86.380587 133.801120 194.231360 266.334630 356.683068
2025-05-18 24.288180 49.904802 85.484333 134.786568 198.182801 274.323535 370.219470
2025-05-25 22.088867 47.603215 83.800073 134.637360 200.628325 280.428385 381.463693
2025-06-01 20.372403 45.914902 82.867581 135.401061 204.170178 287.831713 394.245182
2025-06-08 18.152484 43.242600 80.413417 134.025105 204.900131 291.726653 402.752226
2025-06-15 17.040039 42.298130 80.371888 135.854757 209.714138 300.637925 417.330317
2025-06-22 16.100333 41.570969 80.597389 138.014157 214.935535 310.048789 432.524221
2025-06-29 14.451946 39.476259 78.708476 137.191759 216.222386 314.528750 441.680993
2025-07-06 12.469568 36.585825 75.485052 134.400315 214.837846 315.599800 446.608302
2025-07-13 12.241859 36.929441 77.184402 138.516230 222.572100 328.138370 465.654199
2025-07-20 11.667600 36.563851 77.759837 141.026116 228.172036 337.992506 481.408246